On the desk today  ·  Watsco

Your air conditioner will break. One company is already waiting.

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The Supply Closet Between

The Factory and the Truck

Albert Nahmad has been running Watsco for 54 years. He became chairman, president, and CEO in 1972 — the year Richard Nixon visited China. He is still in the chair. In that time, he has turned a small parts manufacturer into the largest distributor of heating and air conditioning equipment in North America. He has never taken the company public — it was already listed when he arrived. He has never taken on long-term debt. And he has paid a dividend to shareholders every single year for 52 years straight.

My air conditioner died last August. A Tuesday. It was 94 degrees. I called a contractor. He showed up in a white van with a logo on the door. He looked at the unit, pulled out his phone, and ordered a replacement compressor. It arrived the next morning. I paid the bill and didn't think about it again — until months later, when I started looking at who was on the other side of that phone call.

It was Watsco.

Most people have never heard of Watsco. But every HVAC contractor in America knows the name. Watsco doesn't make air conditioners. It doesn't install them. It doesn't repair them. It is the distributor — the middleman between manufacturers like Carrier, Rheem, and Trane and the 72,000 contractors and technicians who use Watsco's platforms to order parts, equipment, and supplies. When your AC breaks in August, the contractor doesn't drive to a factory. He calls Watsco.

In 1989, Nahmad made the bet that defined the company. He sold Watsco's manufacturing business and acquired Gemaire Distributors — a South Florida distributor of Rheem products — pivoting entirely into HVAC distribution. Revenue that year was $64 million from 16 locations.

Here is what happened since. Revenue grew from $64 million to $7.24 billion. Watsco completed 72 acquisitions — most of them multi-generation family-owned distributors absorbed into the network with their names and cultures intact. The company now operates from more than 650 locations across the United States, Canada, Mexico, Puerto Rico, and the Caribbean. In fiscal 2025, it generated $570 million in operating cash flow — including a record $400 million in the fourth quarter alone. It ended the year with $780 million in cash and investments. And zero debt. Not a dollar.

$7.24B

Revenue, FY2025 (from $64M in 1989)

72K

Contractors on Watsco's digital platforms

52 yrs

Consecutive years of paying dividends

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Those 72,000 contractors are the stickiness. Once a technician downloads Watsco's app, builds a purchase history, and gets used to next-morning delivery from the local branch, switching to a competing distributor means learning a new system, losing order history, and hoping the alternative can match the speed. Watsco's e-commerce sales reached approximately $2.5 billion in 2025 — roughly 35% of total revenue. The digital platform isn't a side project. It is the lock-in.

The pricing power lives in the emergency. When an air conditioner fails in a Houston summer or a furnace dies in a Minnesota winter, nobody haggles. The contractor orders the part at whatever price Watsco charges because the homeowner is sitting in a 95-degree living room waiting. In 2025, average domestic selling prices rose 11% — driven by both OEM pricing actions and Watsco's own pricing optimization technology. Revenue declined 5% on lower equipment volumes during the A2L refrigerant transition. But gross margin hit a record 28%. Watsco charged more per unit and kept more of every dollar. Customers absorbed it.

Albert Nahmad put it plainly in the company's annual results release: "This has been one of the most challenging business environments in recent memory, and I am gratified that we have largely sustained our performance while investing for the future." The challenge he was referring to was the A2L refrigerant regulatory mandate — the second major product transition in three years — which forced Watsco to convert over $1 billion of inventory across 650 locations. The company absorbed the disruption, maintained its zero-debt balance sheet, and raised the dividend 10% to $13.20 per share.

The flywheel is thermodynamics. There are approximately 102 million HVAC systems installed in the United States that have been in service for more than ten years — most operating below current efficiency standards. Every one of those units will eventually need repair or replacement. When that day comes, a contractor will place an order. And there is a very good chance that order flows through Watsco — the largest network in a $74 billion market that remains highly fragmented. One company. 650 locations. The phone rings. The truck rolls.

WHY THIS WORKS

  1. Demand is thermodynamic. Air conditioners break. Furnaces fail. The replacement cycle is driven by physics and weather, not consumer sentiment. You do not postpone comfort in August.

  2. The contractor is the customer — and the lock-in. 72,000 contractors use Watsco's ordering platforms daily. Switching means losing purchase history, delivery speed, and digital tools they depend on.

  3. Zero debt, 52 years of dividends. $780 million in cash. No long-term borrowings. Annual dividend raised to $13.20 per share — the 52nd consecutive year of payouts.

  4. A 54-year CEO in a fragmented market. Albert Nahmad has run Watsco since 1972. He has completed 72 acquisitions. Revenue has grown from $64 million to $7.24 billion. The playbook has not changed.

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, 102 million HVAC systems in America are more than ten years old. Most operate below current minimum efficiency standards. New federal regulations — including the A2L refrigerant mandate that took effect in 2025 — are accelerating the replacement cycle. Watsco doesn't need the economy to grow. It needs the weather to stay hot and the installed base to keep aging. Both are guaranteed.

Disclaimer

Please read the offering circular and related risks at invest.modemobile.com. This is a paid advertisement for Mode Mobile’s Regulation A+ Offering.

Mode Mobile recently received their ticker reservation with Nasdaq ($MODE), indicating an intent to IPO in the next 24 months. An intent to IPO is no guarantee that an actual IPO will occur.

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